Euro area annual inflation down to 2.2% (2024)

Euro indicators 30 August 2024 Next release: 1 October 2024

Flash estimate - August 2024

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Overview

Euro area annual inflation is expected to be 2.2% in August 2024, down from 2.6% in July according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union.

Looking at the main components of euro area inflation, services is expected to have the highest annual rate in August (4.2%, compared with 4.0% in July), followed by food, alcohol & tobacco (2.4%, compared with 2.3% in July), non-energy industrial goods (0.4%, compared with 0.7% in July) and energy (-3.0%, compared with 1.2% in July).

Euro area annual inflation down to 2.2% (1)

Tables

Euro area annual inflation and its components (%)

Weights (‰)

Annual rate

Monthly rate

2024

Aug 23

Mar 24

Apr 24

May 24

Jun 24

Jul 24

Aug 24

Aug 24

All-items HICP

1000.0

5.2

2.4

2.4

2.6

2.5

2.6

2.2e

0.2e

All-items excluding:

energy

900.9

6.3

2.9

2.7

2.8

2.8

2.7

2.7e

0.3e

energy, unprocessed food

857.4

6.2

3.1

2.8

2.9

2.8

2.8

2.8e

0.3e

energy, food, alcohol & tobacco

706.2

5.3

2.9

2.7

2.9

2.9

2.9

2.8e

0.3e

Food, alcohol & tobacco

194.7

9.7

2.6

2.8

2.6

2.4

2.3

2.4e

0.1e

processed food, alcohol & tobacco

151.2

10.3

3.5

3.2

2.8

2.7

2.7

2.7e

0.3e

unprocessed food

43.5

7.8

-0.5

1.2

1.8

1.3

1.0

1.1e

-0.5e

Energy

99.1

-3.3

-1.8

-0.6

0.3

0.2

1.2

-3.0e

-1.0e

Non-energy industrial goods

257.3

4.7

1.1

0.9

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.4e

0.3e

Services

448.8

5.5

4.0

3.7

4.1

4.1

4.0

4.2e

0.4e

e estimate

Euro area annual inflation down to 2.2% (2)

Inflation rates (%) measured by the HICP

Annual rate

Monthly rate

Aug 23

Mar 24

Apr 24

May 24

Jun 24

Jul 24

Aug 24

Aug 24

Belgium

2.4

3.8

4.9

4.9

5.4

5.4

4.5e

1.6e

Germany

6.4

2.3

2.4

2.8

2.5

2.6

2.0e

-0.2e

Estonia

4.3

4.1

3.1

3.1

2.8

3.5

3.4e

0.3e

Ireland

4.9

1.7

1.6

2.0

1.5

1.5

1.1e

0.1e

Greece

3.5

3.4

3.2

2.4

2.5

3.0

3.1e

0.0e

Spain

2.4

3.3

3.4

3.8

3.6

2.9

2.4e

0.0e

France

5.7

2.4

2.4

2.6

2.5

2.7

2.2e

0.6e

Croatia

8.4

4.9

4.7

4.3

3.5

3.3

3.0e

0.1e

Italy

5.5

1.2

0.9

0.8

0.9

1.6

1.3e

-0.1e

Cyprus

3.1

1.6

2.1

3.0

3.0

2.4

2.2e

0.9e

Latvia

5.6

1.0

1.1

0.0

1.5

0.8

0.9e

-0.4e

Lithuania

6.4

0.4

0.4

0.9

1.0

1.1

0.7e

-0.5e

Luxembourg

3.5

3.2

3.0

3.2

2.8

2.7

1.7e

1.0e

Malta

5.0

2.7

2.4

2.3

2.2

2.3

2.5e

0.6e

Netherlands

3.4

3.1

2.6

2.7

3.4

3.5

3.3e

0.4e

Austria

7.5

4.1

3.4

3.3

3.1

2.9

2.5e

-0.1e

Portugal

5.3

2.6

2.3

3.8

3.1

2.7

1.8e

-0.1e

Slovenia

6.1

3.4

3.0

2.5

1.6

1.4

1.1e

0.0e

Slovakia

9.6

2.7

2.4

2.6

2.4

3.0

3.2e

0.3e

Finland

3.1

0.6

0.6

0.4

0.5

0.5

1.1e

-0.5e

e estimate

Source dataset: prc_hicp_manr

Euro area annual inflation down to 2.2% (3)

Notes for users

Revisions and timetable

The euro area inflation flash estimate is issued at the end of each reference month.

The complete set of harmonised indices of consumer prices (HICP) for the euro area, EU and Member States is released around the middle of the month following the reference month.

The next release with full data for August 2024 is scheduled for 18 September 2024.

Methods and definitions

Annual inflation is the change of the price level of consumer goods and services between the current month and the same month of the previous year. Monthly inflation is the change of the price level between the current month and the previous month.

Geographical information

The euro area consists of Belgium, Germany, Estonia, Ireland, Greece, Spain, France, Croatia, Italy, Cyprus, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Austria, Portugal, Slovenia, Slovakia and Finland.

The euro area data refer to the country composition at a specific point in time. Changes in the composition of the euro area are incorporated using a chain index formula.

For more information

  • Website section on inflation

  • Database section on inflation

  • Statistics Explained article on inflation in the euro area

  • Metadata on inflation

  • Euro indicators dashboard

  • Release calendar for Euro indicators

  • European Statistics Code of Practice

Get in touch

Media requests

Eurostat Media Support

Phone: (+352) 4301 33 408

E-mail: eurostat-mediasupport@ec.europa.eu

Further information on data

E-mail: estat-hicp@ec.europa.eu

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Euro area annual inflation down to 2.2% (2024)

FAQs

Euro area annual inflation down to 2.2%? ›

Overview. Euro area annual inflation is expected to be 2.2% in August 2024, down from 2.6% in July according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union.

What is the historical inflation rate in the euro area? ›

Inflation Rate In the Euro Area increased to 2.60 percent in July from 2.50 percent in June of 2024. Inflation Rate in Euro Area averaged 2.23 percent from 1991 until 2024, reaching an all time high of 10.60 percent in October of 2022 and a record low of -0.60 percent in July of 2009.

What is the euro area underlying inflation? ›

Inflation in the Eurozone

Wieladek expects that core HICP inflation will stay at 2.9% for August. "Services HICP inflation, the most reliable measure of underlying inflation, will likely remain at 4%.

What is the inflation expectations Euro area data? ›

Inflation in the Euro currency area, which hit a peak of 10.6 percent in October 2022, is set to continue to fall in 2024, as economic forecasts predict that the HICP inflation rate will be between 2.4 percent and 3.3 percent over the year.

What is the euro area annual inflation rate in June 2024? ›

The euro area annual inflation rate was 2.5% in June 2024, down from 2.6% in May. A year earlier, the rate was 5.5%.

What is the real inflation in eurozone? ›

Basic Info. Eurozone Inflation Rate is at 2.60%, compared to 2.50% last month and 5.30% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 2.04%.

Which European country has the highest inflation rate? ›

Inflation rate in Europe in March 2024, by country. As of December 2023, the inflation rate in the European Union was 3.4 percent, with prices rising fastest in Czechia, which had an inflation rate of 7.6 percent.

What is the projected inflation for euro area? ›

We can't predict exactly what will happen to inflation in the future. We think it is likely to increase to around 2¾% towards the end of the year before falling again after that. While prices overall are very likely to go up more slowly than they have done in recent years, lower inflation doesn't mean prices will fall.

What is the euro core inflation rate? ›

European Union Core Inflation Rate is at 3.00%, compared to 3.00% last month and 7.40% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 1.96%.

How is inflation measured in the euro area? ›

To calculate it, national statistical institutes regularly collect prices for a “basket” of goods and services, representing the consumption of all private people in the country. These national values are then compiled into an inflation rate for the euro area.

What is the inflation target euro area? ›

The ECB's monetary policy. The European Central Bank (ECB) guards the value of the euro. To do so, it conducts monetary policy, taking measures to keep prices stable, which means that it aims for a 2% inflation rate.

What is the eurozone CPI today? ›

Eurozone Consumer Price Index is at a current level of 126.54, down from 126.58 last month and up from 123.36 one year ago. This is a change of -0.03% from last month and 2.58% from one year ago.

What are the determinants of inflation expectations in the euro area? ›

They find that short-term euro area inflation expectations have been affected by oil prices, monetary policy shocks and central bank inflation projections.

What is the flash estimate for inflation in the euro area? ›

Overview. Euro area annual inflation is expected to be 2.2% in August 2024, down from 2.6% in July according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union.

What is the euro area inflation rate in June? ›

The eurozone's annual consumer inflation rate in June eased to 2.5% as initially estimated, according to a second reading released on Wednesday.

What is the annual inflation rate in the euro area in July? ›

Eurozone inflation edged up to 2.6% in July, a slight rise from 2.5% in June, matching Eurostat preliminary data and surpassing initial economist estimates of a 2.4% rate.

What is the inflation rate in France? ›

Inflation forecasts and outlook for France

Harmonized consumer price inflation averaged 1.5% in the ten years to 2022, below the Euro Area average of 1.8%. The 2022 average figure was 5.9%.

What is the inflation rate in Germany? ›

Germany inflation rate for 2022 was 6.87%, a 3.81% increase from 2021. Germany inflation rate for 2021 was 3.07%, a 2.92% increase from 2020. Germany inflation rate for 2020 was 0.14%, a 1.3% decline from 2019. Germany inflation rate for 2019 was 1.45%, a 0.29% decline from 2018.

What is the inflation rate in the European Union? ›

European Union Inflation Rate (I:EUIR)

European Union Inflation Rate is at 2.80%, compared to 2.60% last month and 6.10% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 2.24%.

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